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利润增速回升利好银行股

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年02月17日 20:12:11
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(原)(标)(题)(:利)(润)(增)(速)(回)(升)(利)(好)(银)(行)(股)(
记)(者)(观)(察)(本)(报)(记)(者)(张)(炜)(
银)(监)(会)(最)(新)(公)(布)(的)(监)(管)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,截)(至)(2017年)(二)(季)(度)(末)(,商)(业)(银)(行)(当)(年)(累)(计)(实)(现)(净)(利)(润)(9703亿)(元)(,同)(比)(增)(长)(7.92%,较)(上)(季)(末)(上)(升)(3.31个)(百)(分)(点)(。受)(此)(利)(好)(刺)(激)(,银)(行)(股)(8月)(15日)(走)(势)(强)(劲)(,中)(国)(银)(行)(、建)(设)(银)(行)(、招)(商)(银)(行)(等)(涨)(幅)(超)(过)(2.9%。
近)(年)(来)(,国)(内)(商)(业)(银)(行)(告)(别)(超)(高)(速)(增)(长)(,利)(润)(增)(速)(明)(显)(回)(落)(。按)(银)(监)(会)(公)(布)(的)(监)(管)(数)(据)(,2013年)(至)(2015年)(商)(业)(银)(行)(净)(利)(润)(增)(速)(分)(别)(为)(14.5%、9.65%、2.43%。2016年)(商)(业)(银)(行)(净)(利)(润)(同)(比)(增)(长)(3.54%,增)(速)(较)(上)(年)(回)(升)(1.11个)(百)(分)(点)(。
2017年)(上)(半)(年)(商)(业)(银)(行)(净)(利)(润)(增)(速)(进)(一)(步)(回)(升)(,与)(市)(场)(预)(期)(相)(吻)(合)(。一)(方)(面)(,PPI增)(速)(由)(负)(转)(正)(,宏)(观)(经)(济)(企)(稳)(向)(好)(,商)(业)(银)(行)(资)(产)(质)(量)(好)(转)(;另)(一)(方)(面)(,净)(利)(息)(收)(入)(增)(长)(加)(快)(和)(非)(息)(收)(入)(保)(持)(平)(稳)(增)(长)(,有)(助)(于)(商)(业)(银)(行)(盈)(利)(改)(善)(。
从)(银)(监)(会)(此)(次)(公)(布)(的)(数)(据)(来)(看)(,信)(贷)(资)(产)(质)(量)(总)(体)(平)(稳)(。二)(季)(度)(末)(,商)(业)(银)(行)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(余)(额)(1.64万)(亿)(元)(,较)(上)(季)(末)(增)(加)(563亿)(元)(;商)(业)(银)(行)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(1.74%,与)(上)(季)(末)(持)(平)(。这)(意)(味)(着)(商)(业)(银)(行)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(上)(升)(自)(去)(年)(二)(季)(度)(以)(来)(得)(到)(缓)(解)(。商)(业)(银)(行)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(去)(年)(三)(季)(度)(末)(为)(1.76%,之)(后)(出)(现)(了)(小)(幅)(回)(落)(。引)(人)(注)(意)(的)(是)(,2017年)(一)(季)(度)(末)(关)(注)(类)(贷)(款)(余)(额)(为)(3.42万)(亿)(元)(,而)(二)(季)(度)(末)(为)(3.4万)(亿)(元)(。
多)(地)(接)(连)(传)(来)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(下)(降)(的)(好)(消)(息)(。上)(海)(银)(行)(业)(6月)(末)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(0.51%,较)(年)(初)(下)(降)(0.09个)(百)(分)(点)(,创)(近)(两)(年)(来)(新)(低)(。北)(京)(银)(行)(业)(6月)(末)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(0.37%,比)(年)(初)(下)(降)(0.22个)(百)(分)(点)(。温)(州)(银)(行)(业)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(曾)(在)(2013年)(和)(2014年)(超)(过)(4%,自)(2015年)(以)(来)(连)(续)(下)(降)(,今)(年)(6月)(末)(降)(至)(2.26%。
分)(机)(构)(来)(看)(,大)(型)(商)(业)(银)(行)(不)(良)(“双)(降)(”,不)(良)(贷)(款)(余)(额)(由)(一)(季)(度)(末)(7898亿)(元)(减)(至)(二)(季)(度)(末)(7872亿)(元)(,结)(束)(了)(2012年)(一)(季)(度)(至)(2017年)(一)(季)(度)(连)(续)(20个)(季)(度)(的)(增)(长)(;不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(由)(一)(季)(度)(末)(1.64%降)(至)(二)(季)(度)(末)(1.60%。大)(型)(商)(业)(银)(行)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(在)(2016年)(一)(季)(度)(末)(曾)(攀)(至)(1.72%,现)(已)(出)(现)(明)(显)(回)(落)(。五)(大)(银)(行)(尚)(未)(公)(布)(半)(年)(报)(,但)(从)(一)(季)(报)(披)(露)(来)(看)(,农)(业)(银)(行)(、中)(国)(银)(行)(、工)(商)(银)(行)(一)(季)(度)(末)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(分)(别)(较)(上)(年)(末)(下)(降)(0.04、0.01、0.03个)(百)(分)(点)(,建)(设)(银)(行)(和)(交)(通)(银)(行)(一)(季)(度)(末)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(与)(上)(年)(末)(持)(平)(。
不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(在)(不)(同)(商)(业)(银)(行)(有)(增)(有)(减)(:股)(份)(制)(银)(行)(由)(一)(季)(度)(末)(1.74%降)(至)(二)(季)(度)(末)(1.73%,但)(城)(市)(商)(业)(银)(行)(由)(一)(季)(度)(末)(1.50%微)(升)(至)(1.51%,农)(村)(商)(业)(银)(行)(同)(期)(由)(2.55%升)(至)(2.81%。从)(已)(披)(露)(半)(年)(报)(的)(上)(市)(银)(行)(来)(看)(,不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(有)(增)(有)(减)(。招)(商)(银)(行)(、常)(熟)(银)(行)(二)(季)(度)(末)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(分)(别)(较)(上)(年)(末)(减)(少)(0.16、0.11个)(百)(分)(点)(,平)(安)(银)(行)(、华)(夏)(银)(行)(二)(季)(度)(末)(不)(良)(贷)(款)(率)(分)(别)(较)(上)(年)(末)(上)(升)(0.02、0.01个)(百)(分)(点)(。
近)(年)(来)(商)(业)(银)(行)(盈)(利)(增)(速)(持)(续)(下)(降)(,除)(了)(资)(产)(质)(量)(承)(压)(外)(,还)(与)(净)(息)(差)(收)(窄)(有)(很)(大)(关)(系)(。以)(建)(设)(银)(行)(为)(例)(,受)(2015年)(央)(行)(连)(续)(五)(次)(降)(息)(、存)(量)(业)(务)(重)(定)(价)(以)(及)(营)(改)(增)(价)(税)(分)(离)(因)(素)(影)(响)(,2016年)(利)(息)(净)(收)(入)(较)(上)(年)(减)(少)(399.53亿)(元)(,降)(幅)(达)(8.73%。而)(银)(监)(会)(最)(新)(公)(布)(的)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,部)(分)(商)(业)(银)(行)(净)(息)(差)(止)(跌)(回)(升)(。大)(型)(商)(业)(银)(行)(、农)(村)(商)(业)(银)(行)(净)(息)(差)(分)(别)(由)(一)(季)(度)(1.99%、2.68%升)(至)(二)(季)(度)(2.02%、2.77%。不)(过)(,股)(份)(制)(商)(业)(银)(行)(和)(城)(市)(商)(业)(银)(行)(净)(息)(差)(分)(别)(由)(一)(季)(度)(1.85%、1.97%降)(至)(二)(季)(度)(1.83%、1.95%。
近)(期)(机)(构)(纷)(纷)(看)(好)(银)(行)(股)(基)(本)(面)(回)(暖)(。平)(安)(证)(券)(预)(计)(,上)(市)(银)(行)(二)(季)(度)(净)(利)(润)(增)(速)(为)(2.9%,较)(一)(季)(度)(提)(升)(0.3个)(百)(分)(点)(。其)(中)(,大)(型)(银)(行)(净)(利)(润)(增)(速)(改)(善)(为)(2%至)(3%区)(间)(。招)(商)(证)(券)(预)(计)(,上)(市)(银)(行)(上)(半)(年)(净)(利)(润)(同)(比)(上)(升)(4.7%,较)(一)(季)(度)(有)(所)(改)(善)(。
上)(市)(银)(行)(中)(期)(业)(绩)(环)(比)(回)(升)(几)(无)(悬)(念)(。不)(过)(,已)(公)(布)(半)(年)(报)(的)(华)(夏)(银)(行)(和)(常)(熟)(银)(行)(上)(半)(年)(净)(利)(润)(增)(速)(均)(低)(于)(一)(季)(度)(,也)(提)(醒)(投)(资)(者)(不)(同)(银)(行)(的)(表)(现)(仍)(可)(能)(存)(在)(差)(异)(。返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
声)(明)(:该)(文)(观)(点)(仅)(代)(表)(作)(者)(本)(人)(,搜)(狐)(号)(系)(信)(息)(发)(布)(平)(台)(,搜)(狐)(仅)(提)(供)(信)(息)(存)(储)(空)(间)(服)(务)(。
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